Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.007682 0.008631 0.009667 0.010884 0.012278 0.013830 0.015691
2025-02-02 0.006397 0.007740 0.009334 0.011379 0.013949 0.017092 0.021263
2025-02-09 0.005481 0.006955 0.008804 0.011317 0.014677 0.019064 0.025309
2025-02-16 0.004900 0.006463 0.008511 0.011429 0.015538 0.021209 0.029783
2025-02-23 0.004364 0.005941 0.008086 0.011265 0.015944 0.022711 0.033494
2025-03-02 0.004029 0.005645 0.007917 0.011411 0.016767 0.024864 0.038424
2025-03-09 0.003687 0.005296 0.007626 0.011327 0.017209 0.026461 0.042671
2025-03-16 0.003298 0.004838 0.007125 0.010857 0.016976 0.026940 0.045099
2025-03-23 0.003063 0.004588 0.006909 0.010803 0.017389 0.028494 0.049570
2025-03-30 0.002979 0.004561 0.007030 0.011296 0.018755 0.031813 0.057706
2025-04-06 0.002728 0.004247 0.006666 0.010940 0.018611 0.032439 0.060834
2025-04-13 0.002516 0.003979 0.006354 0.010639 0.018525 0.033148 0.064206
2025-04-20 0.002367 0.003811 0.006205 0.010630 0.019007 0.035056 0.070504
2025-04-27 0.002312 0.003796 0.006315 0.011102 0.020459 0.039064 0.082057
2025-05-04 0.002176 0.003631 0.006149 0.011042 0.020865 0.041011 0.089371
2025-05-11 0.002078 0.003525 0.006077 0.011151 0.021616 0.043773 0.099099
2025-05-18 0.001952 0.003357 0.005879 0.010992 0.021791 0.045302 0.106101
2025-05-25 0.001877 0.003277 0.005835 0.011134 0.022617 0.048394 0.117677
2025-06-01 0.001779 0.003148 0.005689 0.011052 0.022944 0.050379 0.126734
2025-06-08 0.001645 0.002941 0.005377 0.010595 0.022379 0.050171 0.129722
2025-06-15 0.001568 0.002837 0.005260 0.010542 0.022732 0.052246 0.139644
2025-06-22 0.001554 0.002855 0.005384 0.011022 0.024387 0.057833 0.161221
2025-06-29 0.001455 0.002699 0.005145 0.010676 0.024019 0.058130 0.166581